Where will they be: hidden implications of solutions to the Fermi paradox

Received: 28 July 2022, Revised: 17 Aug 2022, Accepted: 10 Dec 2022, Available online: 21 Dec 2022, Version of Record: 21 Dec 2022

Niklas Alexander Döbler*
Affiliation:
Department of General Psychology and Methodology, University of Bamberg, Bamberg, Bavaria, GermanyResearch Group EPÆG (Ergonomics, Psychological Aesthetics, Gestalt), Bamberg, GermanyBamberg Graduate School of Affective and Cognitive Sciences (BaGrACS), University of Bamberg, Bamberg, Germany
*
Author for correspondence: Niklas Alexander Döbler, E-mail: niklas.doebler@uni-bamberg.de

Abstract


Solutions to the Fermi paradox either deny the existence of extraterrestrials or offer alternative reasons to explain the non-occurrence of a first contact. While the latter, more optimistic approaches generally assume the existence of extraterrestrials, they simultaneously hint to limited future detectability. If solutions to the Fermi paradox are accepted as true, they must be evaluated in terms of how they affect the likelihood of success of future SETI efforts. Some solutions may lead to the so-called Fermi constraint: in order to explain why there has not been any contact so far, optimistic solutions to the Fermi paradox have to accept assumptions that, if the solution is assumed to be correct, indicate a very low probability of future contact. In other words: they are not here, and that is why they may never appear.

 
Keywords
Extraterrestrial intelligenceFermi paradoxSETI



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